Political analysts say Democratic race could be down to two by April 7 primary
Wisconsin voters don’t cast their ballots for more than a month. By then, political analysts say the Democratic race could be down to two.
There were three major takeaways from Super Tuesday:
- Joe Biden won big. The former vice president secured the most delegates in more than half of Tuesday’s contests.
- Bernie Sanders pivoted to a general election pitch. The senator argued he’s the only candidate who can beat President Trump.
- Michael Bloomberg faltered. The billionaire’s lone victory was in the American Samoa.
Now, political analysts, like Professor Michael Wagner from the UW-Madison, are questioning whether any candidate besides Biden or Sanders has a real path forward. Wagner said Biden and Sanders clearly represent two different factions of the Democratic Party.
“There are different orientations to governance,” said Wagner. “Sanders is, ‘Let’s blow up the way we’ve been doing governance and try something more progressive,’ and vice president Biden is, ‘We had success in the Obama years, let’s return to that.'”
Super Tuesday’s results were in line with Wisconsin’s latest Marquette Law School poll. In it, the top three polling Democrats were Biden, Sanders, and Bloomberg. Wagner said that could be changing.
“I think the Democratic party, the establishment wing of the party, is starting to say, ‘It’s time to coalesce around the nominee we want,'” said Wagner. “That’s not what the Republicans did in 2016. All of the establishment candidates kept fighting it out, leaving Donald Trump, the anti-establishment candidate to get the nomination.”
Wagner said Wisconsin is a critical state to win, and it’s projected the candidate who wins Wisconsin in the general election will win the presidency.
In 2016, Sanders won Wisconsin’s primary election. Hillary Clinton went on to win the nomination, but she lost Wisconsin in the general election to now-president Trump.