New Marquette poll shows Biden under water, but beating possible 2024 challengers

MADISON, Wis. — President Joe Biden has a net negative approval rating in the latest national Marquette Law School poll (44% approve – 55% disapprove), continuing a downward trend in the poll since last July when he was 58% approve – 42% disapprove.

The president fares slightly better in his handling of the Ukraine crisis, with 48% approving and 51% disapproving — a three-point difference, which is within the four-point margin of error for the poll.

When placed head-to-head against potential Republican challengers, Biden comes out ahead however. He beats former President Donald Trump 41%-37%, former Vice President Mike Pence 37%-33%, and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis 38%-33%. Among those matchups, 15-20% of those polled said they would vote for someone else.

Among those three candidates, Trump has the most support among the Republican base — he’s viewed favorably by 80% of Republicans, compared to 64% for Pence and 60% for DeSantis. The base also wants to see him run again by a margin of 68%-32%. Trump is the least-liked candidate among the general electorate however — adding back in Democrats and independents, his favorability drops to 36% favorable – 61% unfavorable.

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As investigations continue into the 2020 election, the poll shows voters have increasing confidence in the results of the past presidential race. The increase in confidence has taken hold across most political demographics, including those who identify as Republicans. Those who say they are independent but lean Republican are the only group that has seen a decrease in confidence in the 2020 results.

Gas prices have also shown to be a polarizing issue — Democrats overwhelmingly say the price of gas it outside the president’s control, while Republicans (at 81%) and independents (at 53%) say the president can do a lot to affect gas prices. This also tracks with Biden’s approval rating — those who think the president has control over gas prices generally disapprove of his job performance.

The poll was taken over March 14-24 with a national sample of 1,004 adults.