Baldwin leads Thompson in latest MU poll

Obama leads Romney
Baldwin leads Thompson in latest MU poll

The latest Marquette University Law School poll released Wednesday showed Democrat Tammy Baldwin leading Republican challenger Tommy Thompson 47 percent to 43 percent.

Democratic lawmakers and others on Wednesday hosted round table forums to discuss Baldwin’s record on women’s issues and to attack Thompson. The effort comes in the midst of a barrage of negative ads showing unflattering footage of Baldwin shouting at a rally earlier this year, “You’re damn right!”

The same poll shows a lead for President Obama over Mitt Romney, 51 percent to 43 percent.

The poll of 1,243 likely voters was done between Oct. 25 and Sunday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

Charles Franklin, the director of the poll, said voter turnout could have a major effect on the outcome in the races.

“In the Senate race where Baldwin holds a 4 point lead among all likely voters, that shrinks to just a 1 point lead among those most engaged voters,” Franklin said. “As the parties are working hard to get all of their supporters to turn out, part of the closeness of this race will depend on whether they succeed in expanding the number of voters or whether it falls back to only those the most engaged in the campaign.”

The poll also found that 10 percent of likely voters have already cast their ballot with a week left in early voting. Early in-person voting ends Friday in Wisconsin.

Franklin said that percentage is on track with the Wisconsin Government Accountability Board’s estimate that about 20 percent of votes will be cast early.