Good Question: Does Lack Of Snow Mean Payback Later On The Winter?
Experts: Snow Months, December, January
Although the calendar say its December, leaves are still hanging on, some birds haven't headed south quite yet and the only thing falling on the ground in Wisconsin is shadows.
Without any snow on the ground, many Wisconsinites might jump to the conclusion Mother Nature will surprise us with more snowfall this winter.
Weather watchers said that while the conditions don't exactly align with the norm, unseasonably mild temperatures and snow-less winters thus far aren't all that unusual. It also doesn't necessarily a lot more snow is coming.
"We're behind where we should be. I'll grant you that," said Jonathan Martin, professor of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
Martin said the state has received about roughly 6 to 8 inches less of snow from what's considered normal by this time of year. However, that doesn't mean the winter will be worse than normal.
"There's no physical connection at all at what's already happened and what may happen in 10 days or five days from now," Martin said.
WISC-TV meteorologist Gary Cannalte said he agrees 100 percent.
"For every mild fall that we've had, I can show you instances where there's been a terrible winter and instances where there's been a fine winter, where it's been very quiet," Cannalte said.
Contrary to what some might think, Mother Nature just doesn't have a great memory. She can't remember when snow fell and when it didn't -- so green grass on Dec. 2 has no affect on what things will look like in a month. She doesn't play catch-up.
Experts said a moderate La Nina, or colder water temperatures in the tropics, is to blame for what looks like a colder, snowier winter. How much snow will come is anyone's guess, they said.
According to the Farmer's Almanac, the opposite is predicted: warmer temperatures, and less snow.
Martin said he's definitely not a believer in the almanac's ability to prognosticate the weather.
"That's so divorced from anything physical," he said. "You might as well cut up some chicken bones or turkey bones from your Thanksgiving dinner and roll them on the floor and pretend that they tell you something. That's about the same type of accuracy that you'll get out of that!"
Cannalte and Martin said that the real snow months for Wisconsin are usually December and January. While there?s nothing imminent in the next 10 days, both said the weather -- as always -- can change on a dime.
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